Time value of money, derived
Every valuation in finance is one idea applied repeatedly: a rupee later is worth less than a rupee now. This derives the formulas rather than quoting them, because a formula you can rebuild is one you can check.
Chapter 1 · Beginner
Almost everything in this course eventually reduces to one sentence: a rupee today is worth more than a rupee later, because today's rupee can be put to work and later's cannot.
Everything below follows from that. None of it is worth memorising, because all of it can be rebuilt in a minute from the first line.
The one assumption
Money can be invested at some rate per period. That is the entire assumption. If it were false — if there were genuinely nowhere to put money — a rupee now and a rupee later would be worth the same and finance would be a very short subject.
Forwards: future value
One rupee invested for one period becomes . Invested again, the whole amount grows:
The pattern is not a rule to remember, it is just repetition:
What makes this compounding rather than addition is that the second period's growth applies to the first period's growth as well. That is the only difference between and , and over long horizons it is the difference between most of the outcome and a small part of it.
Backwards: present value
Discounting is the same equation rearranged. If , then
Nothing new has happened. Discounting is not a second technique; it is compounding read right to left. People find discounting harder only because the question is less familiar, not because the mathematics is.
The quantity is the discount factor: what one rupee at time is worth now. At 8% for ten years it is — ten years at 8% roughly halves the value of a promise.
A stream of payments
A cash flow is a list of amounts with dates. Its value now is the sum of each one discounted:
That is a discounted cash flow. Chapter 20 of the Company analysis subject applies it to a business, and nothing is added there except opinions about what the are.
The annuity, derived
An annuity pays a constant for periods. Rather than summing term by term, use the fact that the sum is geometric. Let
Multiply both sides by and subtract the original from the result. Every interior term cancels, leaving
That is the EMI formula, and the loan calculator uses it in exactly this form. A home loan is an annuity where the bank holds the and you supply the .
The perpetuity
Let . The term goes to zero, and the whole expression collapses to
A payment of ₹1 a year forever, at 8%, is worth ₹12.50. This is the simplest valuation formula in finance and it is the backbone of the terminal value in a DCF — the part of a company's worth attributed to everything after the forecast ends.
If the payment grows at each period, the same derivation with a growing numerator gives
with the obvious and important condition that . A growth rate at or above the discount rate makes the value infinite, which is the arithmetic telling you the assumption is wrong rather than the company being priceless.
Periods are not years
The formulas care about periods, not calendars. The rate and the period must match: a 12% annual rate compounded monthly is 1% a month for twelve months, not 12% once. The RBI's deposit directions require interest on domestic term deposits to be calculated at quarterly or shorter rests, which is why a "7% fixed deposit" pays slightly more than 7% over a year. Chapter 2 is entirely about that gap.
Where this goes
| Chapter | What it does with this |
|---|---|
| Fixed income, price and yield | A bond is an annuity plus a final lump sum |
| Company analysis, DCF | A business is a cash flow with uncertain |
| Corporate finance, NPV | A project is accepted if its exceeds its cost |
| Retirement, the number | A retirement is a perpetuity you hope outlives you |
The point
A rupee later is worth less than a rupee now, and is the exchange rate between them. Compounding and discounting are the same equation read in opposite directions; an annuity is a geometric sum collapsed into a closed form; a perpetuity is that sum with taken to infinity. Every valuation method later in this course is this chapter with assumptions attached.
Check yourself
4 questions. Every answer is explained afterwards, including the ones you get right — guessing correctly is not the same as knowing. Score 70% or more and the chapter is marked done.
Question 1 of 4
0 of 4 answered. You can submit with questions unanswered — they simply score zero.
Now do it with your own numbers
You are offered ₹1,00,000 today or ₹1,25,000 in three years. At what annual rate are you exactly indifferent? Then say whether you would take the money, and what you would have to believe about rates to change your answer.
Indifference means the present values are equal, so solve 125000 / (1+r)³ = 100000 for r. The second half is the part that matters: the rate is only an answer if you can actually earn it.